Dan’s Oscar Hopes and Predictions 2017

We are less than a week away from the 2017 Oscars, and that means it’s time for predictions and hopes. Perhaps my greatest hope is that Swiss Army Man somehow manages to exploit an unforeseen technicality and nabs late-stage nominations and subsequent wins in every category. Impossible, I know, but just a few short years ago, the idea that a movie would be made in which Harry Potter plays a farting corpse was one that, if posited, would have seemed impossible too. Inspiring!

As for predictions, my only method was a simple gut feeling. Show me someone who claims to have the Academy’s methods figured out and I’ll show you someone who probably makes medical decisions based on astrology.

I’m just covering the major categories, mostly because I’m very tired, but partially because I still have no clue what the difference is between sound editing and sound mixing. Also, I’ve seen every movie in the below listed categories, which makes me awesome and my picks properly informed.

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou)
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
20th Century Women (Mike Mills)

My pick: Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
Will winLa La Land (Damien Chazelle)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival (Eric Heisserer)
Fences (August Wilson)
Hidden Figures (Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi)
Lion (Luke Davies)
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McRaney)

My pickArrival (Eric Heisserer)
Will winMoonlight (Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McRaney)

Best Cinematography

Arrival (Bradford Young)
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Lion (Grieg Fraser)
Moonlight (James Laxton)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)

My pickMoonlight (James Laxton)
Will winArrival (Bradford Young)

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)

My pick: Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Will win: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

I should note that Mahershala Ali is a very, very close second for me.

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis (Fences)
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

My pick: Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Will win: Viola Davis (Fences)

Best Actor

Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)
Denzel Washington (Fences)

My pick: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Will win: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)


Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Ruth Negga (Loving)
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

My pick: Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Will win: Ruth Negga (Loving)

Best Director

Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester By the Sea)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

My pick: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Will win: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

Best Picture

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester By the Sea
Moonlight

My pickHell or High Water
Will winMoonlight

I should note that if Moonlight wins, I will dance happily in the streets just the same. It’s a masterpiece. I just enjoy movies like Hell or High Water more, generally speaking.

Check back in throughout the week for more predictions and hopes from all of us here at Cinedelphia!!

Author: Dan Scully

Dan Scully is a film buff and humorist living in a tiny apartment in Philadelphia. He hosts the podcast I Like to Movie Movie and is the proud father to twin cactuses named Riggs & Murtaugh. Also, he doesn’t really mind when Batman kills people. Follow him on Twitter and Letterboxd.

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